Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 7.534669 8.788675 10.141060 11.702546 13.450137 15.340139 17.532966
2025-04-13 5.974713 7.597180 9.463925 11.751981 14.461236 17.547022 21.306386
2025-04-20 5.053332 6.910572 9.165251 12.065161 15.654288 19.907708 25.282747
2025-04-27 4.338312 6.334631 8.876388 12.284907 16.664878 22.029664 29.015004
2025-05-04 3.697081 5.744874 8.471090 12.269594 17.318246 23.685137 32.194196
2025-05-11 3.006779 4.983324 7.737401 11.724604 17.202846 24.309339 34.046169
2025-05-18 2.556517 4.496338 7.313572 11.533897 17.503491 25.438515 36.543831
2025-05-25 2.161635 4.034702 6.868636 11.256965 17.638943 26.319328 38.710646
2025-06-01 1.863458 3.681979 6.541964 11.109067 17.922039 27.383259 41.130731
2025-06-08 1.579437 3.311263 6.145330 10.813883 17.956636 28.080762 43.047791
2025-06-15 1.412018 3.117849 6.006959 10.893688 18.530794 29.541141 46.051660
2025-06-22 1.238922 2.888998 5.785258 10.818478 18.855394 30.641083 48.566119
2025-06-29 1.118384 2.744457 5.694352 10.948767 19.502843 32.238944 51.853854
2025-07-06 1.010749 2.609500 5.605499 11.071215 20.136079 33.829206 55.169429
2025-07-13 0.944057 2.548826 5.642371 11.403424 21.110524 35.954164 59.319045
2025-07-20 0.869938 2.461310 5.620224 11.628282 21.915385 37.840831 63.159973
2025-07-27 0.776113 2.315466 5.473012 11.620016 22.331659 39.137771 66.146808
2025-08-03 0.639848 2.047120 5.059378 11.100943 21.865506 39.040448 67.015536
2025-08-10 0.554510 1.885583 4.840909 10.919526 21.953123 39.803628 69.202150
2025-08-17 0.472914 1.717278 4.589503 10.654940 21.878171 40.296208 70.973156
2025-08-24 0.411305 1.589726 4.410429 10.513603 22.006366 41.111730 73.257826
2025-08-31 0.347677 1.442063 4.169785 10.231234 21.864635 41.474446 74.829467
2025-09-07 0.314503 1.377749 4.110939 10.307630 22.370420 42.914259 78.138422